As 2024 shapes up to be a pivotal election year, many investors are concerned about the outcome of the U.S. Presidential Election and its potential impact on the stock market. With President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump emerging as the likely frontrunners, we may be heading for a repeat of the 2020 election.
This scenario could trigger a variety of market responses, reflecting the distinct policies and political atmospheres associated with each candidate. However, a review of historical data shows that presidential elections generally don't have a substantial long-term effect on financial markets.
While short-term volatility is common during election seasons due to increased uncertainty, the U.S. stock market has consistently trended upward over the long term, regardless of which party occupies the White House. Understanding this historical relationship between presidential elections and stock market performance can help you make more informed investment decisions and avoid knee-jerk reactions that hinder your progress toward long-term goals.